Jerry Hempstead of Hempstead Consulting is a great friend and former colleague of mine. After 32 years in the express and parcel business in the United States, Jerry "retired" a couple of years ago only to become one exceptionally busy guy. Jerry's expert knowledge of the parcel business has led him to some very interesting consulting engagements in China and the United States.
The article below is an Opinion/Editorial reflecting Jerry's personal insights. Jerry can be reached at gmhempstead@aol.com
You may not have noticed but history was made this week.
The United States Post Office (USPS) announced a rate increase.
Now you might think that they raise rates all the time. Well not quite.
Prior to this weeks announcement of increases in First Class postage and other mailing rates, the USPS had to have rates approved by the Postal Regulatory Commission. This was a long, drawn out process that could take months and involve testimony, rate filings, and federal negotiation. Prior to the adoption of “The Postal Accountability and Enhancement Act” the Post Office had to fight to change any price. They were not free to increase (or decrease) their prices.
Now, the USPS can raise rates on their non-competitive products (those covered by their monopoly) each year in May, so long as the distributed increase in cost to mailers does not exceed the increase in the Consumer Price Index.
The USPS used to have to cart all kinds of documentation in front of the PRC for debate. These included minutia on all historic costs, projected costs in the future, current and projected volumes by class of mail, as well as their attributed costs for current and projected volumes. The PRC is an independent, appointed board that represents you and me. It is chartered with the mission to keep the US Postal monopoly from using its powers unfairly by overcharging the public. In the past the USPS had to run a break even operation. Prices and costs prices had to align.
A request for a change used to signal the beginning of a 10 month debate. Parcel firms like UPS and FedEx would argue that rates were not going up ENOUGH while major mailers would argue that rates at least in their classification were going up unfairly and that they were being asked to subsidize other classes of mail.
The point of my piece today is twofold. One is to point out that on the monopoly products the rates are going to go up each May. I think it would be prudent to count on that. But you can plan for that. Monopoly products include stamps for example.
The Post Office is offering a hedge against rate increases however, at least for first class, called the Forever Stamp. It costs $.41 and is good for door to door transportation, inclusive of all fees and surcharges to any point, business or residential in the 50 states and Puerto Rico. That’s an awesome deal and their service is great. This is actually prepaid transportation that never expires.
The second thing to note in the announcement is that rate increases for Parcel Services, Express Mail, Priority Mail & Parcel Select were not announced.
Isn't that odd?
These are now considered competitive products because they compete straight up with UPS, FedEx and DHL. The people that fought this case made sure the USPS had to compete fairly and the cost of these products now will have to carry the burden of an implied income tax just as if the USPS were like a regular company. Think about why UPS and Fed may have wanted to have the USPS add costs to their pricing formula.
In any event these prices will be announced shortly. In the past the USPS did not have residential fees or out of area surcharges, or fuel surcharges, but the new legislation now allows the USPS to price their competitive products just like everyone else in the business.
The great news is that with the legislation also came new latitude for the USPS to offer shippers discounts just like the other guys.
The rate commission has not yet decided on what the rules of engagement are going to be for the USPS to offer these discounts. I would hate it if the rate commission said that the USPS had to publish those discounts because then that would just undermine the process. FedEx and UPS would just price under the USPS and the positive impact of creating more competition would be lost.
I would challenge you, that if you think the United States would benefit by having the USPS be able to operate in the parcel space just like the other three big guys, you should write to the PRC. (www.prc.gov) or join a lobby group like the Parcel Shippers Association (PSA) or POSTCOM. So many are impacted by the USPS changes and potential changes and yet few are involved.
Every corporation in America will be affected by this rate increase in May. It's been public knowledge since last May that this was coming.
I wonder how many budgeted for it? The US Post Office with the ability to negotiate individual rate deals with corporations would be the 8000 lb parcel gorilla.
Jerry
Add Freightdawg.com to your social bookmarks!
Recent Comments