Gasoline in California costs almost $4.60 a gallon. I have no idea how those folks afford that. However an eventual alternative is coming in the form of hydrogen powered vehicles. Last week the first commercial fuel station was introduced in Los Angeles to support early hydrogen fueled test cars.
BMW, Honda and GM are introducing hydrogen powered test vehicles. The total number of prototype vehicles is under 100 nationwide. The test however, isn't really as much about the technology to produce the cars as the ability to produce and distribute the hydrogen fuel. Today, the number of hydrogen fueling stations is less than 30 nationwide.
Movie star Jamie Lee Curtis drives a hydrogen car. Honda gave her a new FCX Clarity sedan to drive. They gave her husband and an number of other celebrities prototype cars to drive as well. Their purpose is to provide high profile demonstrations of the new technology to early adopters who may have the shekels to secure the first expensive vehicles. About 200 of the cars will be part of a milestone leasing program over the next three years in the US and Japan.
The benefit of hydrogen is that the exhaust of an H powered vehicle is water vapor. The problem with hydrogen is that it's a bulky gas. It's too bulky to produce in a central refinery environment then transport to a fueling station. Hydrogen needs to be produced on site at the fueling station.
Producing hydrogen gas involves electricity. A lot of electricity. Basically you take high voltage electrical current and pass it through water. This cracks the hydrogen atoms (H) off of the water molecule (H2O). The resultant gas is collected in a tank for use as fuel.
From an environmental point of view, hydrogen may be a clean fuel, but the means to create it may not be when electricity is largely produced from coal, oil and nuclear fuels.
Given the energy requirement to produce hydrogen as a fuel source, it's use for automobiles may not be commercially viable for awhile. However, when considering commercial vehicles like semi-trucks, the possibilities change. Trucks already use centralized fueling stations either through company depots or over-the-road truck stops. Truck Stops present a concentrated opportunity to create hydrogen based fuel stations.
Trucking companies and truck stops would have to make infrastructure investments to make the fueling of hydrogen powered vehicles a reality. However, state and local governments could make allowances for these investments in fuel tax exemptions or other tax related benefits to offset the initial costs.
State legislatures in the US (Oklahoma and North Carolina for example) have made investments in other energy hungry industries in the last few years, in particular the allowance of tax credits to technology companies like Google, Yahoo! and Microsoft that consume as much as 50 mega watts of energy annually through regionally placed data centers. (That's enough electricity to power a small city.)
One of the critical ways that the data center technology firms work with state governments is through investment in alternative "clean" energy sources such as wind, hydro and solar energy sources. Wind energy in particular presents attractive possibilities because wind turbines can be deployed in multiple locations where the basic requirement is wind strength.
Warren Buffett and Berkshire Hathaway invested in railroads and rail tank cars because they realized that the conveyance of coal, ethanol and grains would be profitable businesses in an energy shortage. The transport of commodities that are the potentials of energy generation are almost guaranteed to be profitable.
The same can be said for wind energy when related to the production of hydrogen fuels as well as direct electrical grid power generation. Electricity cannot be stored as a fuel. However, hydrogen, produced by electrical generation can be.
The firms that produce wind turbines include GE, Hitachi, Siemens and others. Their order books are full. They will stay full for a long time. Long enough to change the core businesses of these conglomerates over time. In due course investors will realize that the critical investment is in the producers of the technology that produce the fuels. Buffett gets this already.
Google, Microsoft and Yahoo! etc., power the electron economy. Trucking companies deliver the goods. Both will have wind energy behind them sooner rather than later.
In the meantime, Jamie Lee and others will simply look cute in their new cars, mostly unaware of the economic harbinger their vehicles represent.
Eric
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Periodically the ocean reminds us that sailing the seas in ships is still a dangerous business. Filipino Ferry Princess of Stars capsized on June 24, 2008 with only 62 survivors out of a passenger list of over 800.
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