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Eric Joiner, Jr.

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« Fueling America: We need a Strategy. | Main | Kalitta 747 Crashes Again...This time in Colombia. »

July 07, 2008

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Clement Wan

Eric,

For what it's also worth, I came across two other links today: http://pajamasmedia.com/instapundit/archives2/021391.php - notes the massive wind project + video from T Boone Pickens. I'd say that I'm still not convinced compared with the initial investment costs involved versus potential power generation (and ongoing maintenance - compare this to solar). Interestingly Dallas News also has a large profile on Pickens today.

History also suggests that every dominant form of energy tends to be more efficient than the one before it. Imagine if we still had to use whale blubber or horses as an opinion article in today's WSJ points out: http://online.wsj.com/article/SB121547405022734039.html

And for levity, no matter where you sit on what should be done about greenhouse gas emissions, this is a good little factoid: a moose produces as much greenhouse gas from their flatulence as the emissions from 13,000 km of car travel (http://www.timesonline.co.uk/tol/news/uk/science/article2310627.ece). In fact if you look at what % of greenhouse emissions are from any cattle and meat, I tend to believe that anyone who still eats meat can't possibly be serious about greenhouse gases.

We have some pretty mindblowing changes coming up ahead when it comes to energy technology. It will be fun to watch - and I'm sure the impacts will be most felt by earlier adopters as at least when it relates to freight, it's obviously those who now have the most modern fleets that are emerging as being far more profitable and sustainable because of energy efficiency.

Best regards,
Clement

eric

thanks for your comments guys. Clement your insights are particularly appreciated.

I'll check out the links you suggested!

Clement Wan

Eric,

I wouldn't get terribly concerned about the long term outlook for energy. Short term is a different matter of course.

Wind energy is one of the crappiest forms of alternative energy with massive costs to build any given megawatt. Instead if you want to get optimistic, check out out www.nanosolar.com (they are good at hyping but they are backed by some serious money) and claim that they are able to produce a solar cell (not including installation) for about 66 cents. There are also other firms that seem to be on the verge of sub $1/watt panels - and this is what is needed to be competitive with coal plants.

And then yet other biofuel alternatives on the horizon that actually makes sense (corn based ethanol is horrendous for the environment and for cost): http://www.popularmechanics.com/science/research/4270240.html?series=19

The issue is both a supply and demand issue. Check out the automotive x-prize (sponsored by progressive). The race is on to develop the first commercially viable vehicle that gets over 100 mpg.

Of course the day that we can wean ourselves off middle east oil - or at least reduce demand sufficiently that the world isn't dependent on such unstable and hostile governments can't come soon enough... With prices of oil where they are, the incentives certainly are there to get there.

Clement

Splatty

I agree with you 100%, we absolutely need a diversified energy plan. The unfortunate aspect to the development of new energy sources is the amount of red tape and road blocks from environmental lobbyists. I can just see it now, "Wind power? You can't build those, just think of all the defenseless birds that will die as a result of their spinning blades".

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